REPORT / OVERNIGHT RANGE BREAK

Is the Globex range taken in New York?

MES / Globex / 5 yr
96%took at least one overnight extreme, over 1,312 sessions
high only40%n 527
low only32%n 418
both24%n 313
neither4%n 54
overnight range break report / MES globex hours / 1,312 sessions

MES and ES trade the same index. The price path is identical and only the contract multiplier differs, so these are the ES numbers, in MES terms.

Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.

By weekday

share of sessions

By size

share of sessions
The latest 60 sessions on file, not the full sample the headline counts
SessionOutcomeDirectionSize, ptsAgainst, ptsExtension, ptsMinutes
2026-09-04low-onlydown33.058.1518.9742
2026-09-03high-onlyup44.645.6160.310
2026-09-02high-onlyup404.0132.4430
2026-09-01low-onlydown67.5333.5918.990
2026-08-31low-onlydown39.724.388.6917
2026-08-28bothnone27.5243.427.0510
2026-08-27bothnone34.3148.163.991
2026-08-26bothnone25.7825.798.2913
2026-08-25neithernone53.51---
2026-08-24low-onlydown38.9521.789.3612
2026-08-21high-onlyup43.3117.1210.67127
2026-08-20low-onlydown65.51.321.06272
2026-08-19high-onlyup59.7635.597.2286
2026-08-18low-onlydown53.8315.467.1543
2026-08-17low-onlydown23.232.4835.023
2026-08-14low-onlydown11.3810.523.127
2026-08-13high-onlyup28.758.0244.70
2026-08-12high-onlyup44.0734.431.210
2026-08-11low-onlydown29.24.1226.66124
2026-08-10high-onlyup32.7230.890.7777

Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts.

Sample runs 2021-01-04 to 2026-09-04, 1,312 sessions. Skipped: 47 half days, 58 data holes, 63 sessions the report did not apply to.